Market Signal Radar
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Overnight signals for Japan’s market open

Market Signal Radar

Curated cross-market radar with bounded discovery for US earnings, FX, crypto, energy, and Japan impact baskets. 固定の中核ユニバースに限定的な発見レイヤーを重ね、今日の日本株インパクトに変換します。

Generated 2026-10-02 09:54 JST fresh at generation / stale after 24h read-only no mutation US→Japan impact bounded discovery US post close window Tokyo regular session window

Static read-only snapshot. Next check: Tokyo close.

LIVE SIGNAL MAP MARKET × FX LATEST STATIC SNAPSHOT
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US to Japan cross-market signal flow across Tokyo and New York
LIVE MARKET SURFACE

Market structure, signal pressure, and freshness

Area shows market proxy weight or signal impact. Open the market map for the latest snapshot.

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Today’s Tactical Summary deterministic template

Primary Impact / Watch

Primary impact is Semiconductor; Energy / Trading Houses is the highest watch-risk theme.

Semiconductor is the main impact theme because it has the highest actionable cross-market read, while alignment remains mixed. Energy / Trading Houses is the highest watch-risk theme because Japan resource/trading-house participation is split despite active energy inputs.

Primary Impact Semiconductor Mixed · Opening check required
Primary Watch Energy / Trading Houses Rejected · No clean edge Japan resource/trading-house participation is split despite active energy inputs.
DivergenceMixed Follow/Fade BiasOpening check required Heuristic Rank34/100 Low-Medium

Watch before open: SOX/NVDA, Nikkei futures, WTI, XOM/CVX.

Tokyo Open Priority Board ranked themes

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Strong Watch Low

Top Cross-Market Signals US→Japan impact

4 baskets
Japan Semiconductor Equipment 74

US AI → Japan Semiconductor

US semiconductor leadership can set the first read for Tokyo semiconductor equipment. The useful signal is whether Tokyo open breadth and volume extend the overseas move.

DivergenceMixed Follow/Fade BiasOpening check required Heuristic Rank34/100 Low-Medium
US driver
NVDA, AMD, AVGO, SMH, SOXX
Japan basket
8035, 6857, 6723, 6920
JP state
mixed
US38Agree80JP fit92Breadth100Clean42Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -15 pts / regime -5 pts / driver dispersion -14 pts
Pre-open Watch
SOX/NVDANikkei futuresUSDJPYJP basket dispersion
Leader/Laggard
Leader
8035 東京エレクトロン
Laggard
6920 レーザーテック
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-10-01; news 34 in 24h / 47 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-10-01
Japan Crypto / Brokerage 63

Crypto → Japan Brokers

Crypto and crypto-linked US equities can translate into risk appetite for Japanese brokerage and online financial names. The cleanest read needs spot crypto and listed proxies to move together.

DivergenceMixed Follow/Fade BiasOpening check required Heuristic Rank36/100 Low-Medium
US driver
BTCUSD, ETHUSD, COIN, MSTR
Japan basket
8698, 8473
JP state
mixed
US56Agree68JP fit74Breadth62Clean42Fresh86
Reductions: driver agreement -2 pts / dispersion -3 pts / regime -5 pts / basket size -10 pts / driver dispersion -9 pts
Pre-open Watch
BTCETHCOIN/MSTRUSDJPYJP crypto basket reaction
Leader/Laggard
Leader
8698 マネックスグループ
Laggard
8473 SBIホールディングス
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-10-02; news 29 in 24h / 48 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-10-01
Japan Resources / Trading Houses 56

Energy → Japan Resources / Trading Houses

Energy majors frame the first read for Japanese resource and trading-house sensitivity, with a separate cost-pressure read for import-heavy names.

DivergenceRejected Follow/Fade BiasNo clean edge Heuristic Rank50/100 Medium
US driver
XOM, CVX
Japan basket
1605, 5020, 8058, 8001
JP state
rejected
US49Agree100JP fit77Breadth25Clean18Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -5 pts / driver dispersion -2 pts
Pre-open Watch
WTIXOM/CVXUSDJPYTrading company reaction
Leader/Laggard
Leader
8001 伊藤忠商事
Laggard
5020 ENEOSホールディングス
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-10-01; news 14 in 24h / 24 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-10-01
Japan Exporters 47

USDJPY → Japan Exporters

USDJPY and US index tone shape the opening setup for Japanese exporters. A stronger signal needs exporter basket direction rather than FX alone.

DivergenceNo clean edge Follow/Fade BiasNo clean edge Heuristic Rank55/100 Medium
US driver
USDJPY, SPY, QQQ
Japan basket
7203, 7267, 6758, 6902
JP state
incomplete
US30Agree78JP fit88Breadth81Clean42Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -3 pts / regime -5 pts / driver dispersion -1 pts
Pre-open Watch
USDJPYUS index futuresNikkei futuresUS peer stocks
Leader/Laggard
Leader
7267 本田技研工業
Laggard
6902 デンソー
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-10-02; news 18 in 24h / 36 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-10-01
Displayed Signals0top projection
Strong Signals0displayed snapshot
Watch0context signals
Sources0active inputs

Snapshot Breadth full static radar

30 total / 24 displayed
Full Snapshot 30 full static signal set Displayed Feed 24 lane-balanced projection Curated Drivers 17 FMP curated core JP Impact Names 14 curated Japan core Cross-Market Themes 4 exposure map themes Discovered Candidates 10 bounded additions Discovery Signals 5 signals from additions Active Lanes 5 of five model lanes

Agent Surface

Actionsread-only WebMCPread-only Static JSONenabled Mutationdisabled

Source Health

Endpoint Directory

Agent Contract

Agent Manifest
agent.json
Agent Policy
agent-policy.json
Agent Index
agent-index.json
Public Safety
public-safety.json
Agent Gateway
agent-gateway.json
Agent Routes
agent-routes.json

Market Data

Latest Items
latest.json
Priority Queue
priority-queue.json
Source Health
source-health.json
Market Handoff
market-handoff

Trust

Trust Manifest
rirastafab-trust.json
Proof Latest
proof/latest.json
Market Signal Ledger
market-signal-ledger.json

Lane Activity full snapshot

Projection Distribution

    Projection Domains

    Safety Guardrails

    Search indexing Noindex enforced
    Read-only surface Enabled
    Runtime server endpoints None
    External execution Disabled
    Trade execution Disabled
    Financial advice Disabled
    WebMCP read-only tools Enabled
    Static agent JSON Enabled