Market Signal Radar
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Overnight signals for Japan’s market open

Market Signal Radar

Curated cross-market radar with bounded discovery for US earnings, FX, crypto, energy, and Japan impact baskets. 固定の中核ユニバースに限定的な発見レイヤーを重ね、今日の日本株インパクトに変換します。

Generated 2026-08-19 06:42 JST fresh at generation / stale after 24h read-only no mutation US→Japan impact bounded discovery US post close window Tokyo pre open window

Static read-only snapshot. Next check: Tokyo open.

LIVE SIGNAL MAP MARKET × FX LATEST STATIC SNAPSHOT
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US to Japan cross-market signal flow across Tokyo and New York
LIVE MARKET SURFACE

Market structure, signal pressure, and freshness

Area shows market proxy weight or signal impact. Open the market map for the latest snapshot.

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Today’s Tactical Summary deterministic template

Primary Impact / Watch

Primary impact is Semiconductor; Exporters is the highest watch-risk theme.

Semiconductor is the main impact theme: US drivers and Tokyo prior-close direction are aligned enough to monitor follow-through. Exporters is the highest watch-risk theme because exporter participation is split while FX and US index tone are active.

Primary Impact Semiconductor Aligned · Provisional follow
Primary Watch Exporters Mixed · Opening check required Exporter participation is split while FX and US index tone are active.
DivergenceAligned Follow/Fade BiasProvisional follow Heuristic Rank74/100 Medium-High

Watch before open: SOX/NVDA, Nikkei futures, USDJPY, US index futures.

Tokyo Open Priority Board ranked themes

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Strong Watch Low

Top Cross-Market Signals US→Japan impact

4 baskets
Japan Semiconductor Equipment 92

US AI → Japan Semiconductor

US semiconductor leadership can set the first read for Tokyo semiconductor equipment. The useful signal is whether Tokyo open breadth and volume extend the overseas move.

DivergenceAligned Follow/Fade BiasProvisional follow Heuristic Rank74/100 Medium-High
US driver
NVDA, AMD, AVGO, SMH, SOXX
Japan basket
8035, 6857, 6723, 6920
JP state
prior close aligned
US96Agree100JP fit92Breadth100Clean90Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -10 pts / driver dispersion -4 pts
Pre-open Watch
SOX/NVDANikkei futuresUSDJPYJP basket dispersion
Leader/Laggard
Leader
8035 東京エレクトロン
Laggard
6723 ルネサスエレクトロニクス
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-08-18; news 36 in 24h / 50 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-08-18
Japan Resources / Trading Houses 72

Energy → Japan Resources / Trading Houses

Energy majors frame the first read for Japanese resource and trading-house sensitivity, with a separate cost-pressure read for import-heavy names.

DivergenceAligned Follow/Fade BiasProvisional follow Heuristic Rank74/100 Medium-High
US driver
XOM, CVX
Japan basket
1605, 5020, 8058, 8001
JP state
prior close aligned
US68Agree100JP fit92Breadth100Clean90Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -6 pts / driver dispersion -2 pts
Pre-open Watch
WTIXOM/CVXUSDJPYTrading company reaction
Leader/Laggard
Leader
1605 INPEX
Laggard
8001 伊藤忠商事
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-08-18; news 11 in 24h / 24 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-08-18
Japan Crypto / Brokerage 66

Crypto → Japan Brokers

Crypto and crypto-linked US equities can translate into risk appetite for Japanese brokerage and online financial names. The cleanest read needs spot crypto and listed proxies to move together.

DivergenceResilient Follow/Fade BiasLocal-only / fragile Heuristic Rank31/100 Low-Medium
US driver
BTCUSD, ETHUSD, COIN, MSTR
Japan basket
8698, 8473
JP state
resilient
US61Agree68JP fit67Breadth25Clean18Fresh86
Reductions: driver agreement -2 pts / dispersion -2 pts / basket size -10 pts / driver dispersion -10 pts
Pre-open Watch
BTCETHCOIN/MSTRUSDJPYJP crypto basket reaction
Leader/Laggard
Leader
8473 SBIホールディングス
Laggard
8698 マネックスグループ
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-08-18; news 28 in 24h / 43 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-08-18
Japan Exporters 55

USDJPY → Japan Exporters

USDJPY and US index tone shape the opening setup for Japanese exporters. A stronger signal needs exporter basket direction rather than FX alone.

DivergenceMixed Follow/Fade BiasOpening check required Heuristic Rank46/100 Medium
US driver
USDJPY, SPY, QQQ
Japan basket
7203, 7267, 6758, 6902
JP state
mixed
US41Agree78JP fit81Breadth44Clean42Fresh86
Reductions: dispersion -6 pts / regime -5 pts / driver dispersion -3 pts
Pre-open Watch
USDJPYUS index futuresNikkei futuresUS peer stocks
Leader/Laggard
Leader
6758 ソニーグループ
Laggard
7267 本田技研工業
FMP: quote snapshot through 2026-08-18; news 21 in 24h / 36 in 7d / JQUANTS: daily bars through 2026-08-18
Displayed Signals0top projection
Strong Signals0displayed snapshot
Watch0context signals
Sources0active inputs

Snapshot Breadth full static radar

30 total / 24 displayed
Full Snapshot 30 full static signal set Displayed Feed 24 lane-balanced projection Curated Drivers 17 FMP curated core JP Impact Names 14 curated Japan core Cross-Market Themes 4 exposure map themes Discovered Candidates 13 bounded additions Discovery Signals 8 signals from additions Active Lanes 5 of five model lanes

Agent Surface

Actionsread-only WebMCPread-only Static JSONenabled Mutationdisabled

Source Health

Endpoint Directory

Agent Contract

Agent Manifest
agent.json
Agent Policy
agent-policy.json
Agent Index
agent-index.json
Public Safety
public-safety.json
Agent Gateway
agent-gateway.json
Agent Routes
agent-routes.json

Market Data

Latest Items
latest.json
Priority Queue
priority-queue.json
Source Health
source-health.json
Market Handoff
market-handoff

Trust

Trust Manifest
rirastafab-trust.json
Proof Latest
proof/latest.json
Market Signal Ledger
market-signal-ledger.json

Lane Activity full snapshot

Projection Distribution

    Projection Domains

    Safety Guardrails

    Search indexing Enabled
    Read-only surface Enabled
    Runtime server endpoints None
    External execution Disabled
    Trade execution Disabled
    Financial advice Disabled
    WebMCP read-only tools Enabled
    Static agent JSON Enabled